Brandon Miller Points - Player Prop Bet 3/6/2026

reorder

We’re hiring: Junior AI Product & Automation Engineer — Freelance → Learn More

NBA · Player Props

Brandon Miller

F · Charlotte Hornets

Points

Charlotte Hornets vs Miami Heat · Mar 6, 2026

Updated Mar 6, 2026 5:49 PM EST

Analysis

Brandon Miller Points Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-125/-103).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 21.5 @ -118 before it was bet up to 21.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The matchup against Miami is a good one for 3-point attempts; when the Heat are on the road, the opposing team's starting SFs have averaged the 3rd-most 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (5.8).
The Hornets are expected to see a spike in opportunities in this game from competing against the quickest pace-of-play offense in the NBA this year (the Heat).
The Charlotte Hornets check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Over the last 5 games, the other team's starting SFs have attempted 6.0 free throws per game (3rd-most in the NBA) against the Heat, easily managing to get to the charity stripe.

Favors Under

In regard to shooting, the Charlotte Hornets's poor 45.3% field goal percentage while on their home court places worst in the league this year.
The 3rd-most lethargic tempo offense in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Hornets.