Brandon Miller Points - Player Prop Bet 3/31/2024

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Brandon Miller

NBA · Player Props

Brandon Miller

F · Charlotte Hornets

Points

Charlotte Hornets vs LA Clippers · Mar 31, 2024

Updated Apr 1, 2024 2:37 AM EST

Analysis

Brandon Miller Points Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 18.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 19.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Brandon Miller has attempted 17.8 field goals per game over the last 15 games on his home court, 2.9 more than he's attempted overall this season at home.
Brandon Miller has attempted 9.4 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games while at home, 2.6 higher than he's attempted in all games this season at home.
Out of all players in the league, Brandon Miller places in the 85th percentile for playing time, tallying an enormous 32.1 minutes per game this year.
Brandon Miller will possess the home court advantage in this game. Playing with the home court advantage tends to raise stat production in all facets of the game.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the league, Brandon Miller registers in the 85th percentile for personal fouls, posting a whopping 2.4 fouls per game while playing at home this year.
This year when they have the home court advantage, the opposing team's starting SFs have averaged 43.3% on field goals (5th-lowest in the league) vs. the Clippers, designating this as a tough matchup.
The 5th-least up-tempo pace team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Charlotte Hornets.
The Clippers have played at the 2nd-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games, which ought to reduce plays for the Charlotte Hornets.
The Hornets rank as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games while on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

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