Brandon Miller Points - Player Prop Bet 2/10/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Brandon Miller

F · Charlotte Hornets

Points

Charlotte Hornets vs Memphis Grizzlies · Feb 10, 2024

Updated Feb 10, 2024 9:23 PM EST

Analysis

Brandon Miller Points Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-148/+108).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 24.5 @ -139 before it was bet down to 20.5 @ +108.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Brandon Miller has attempted 20.8 shots per game over the last 5 games, 6.7 higher than he's attempted in all games this year.
Brandon Miller has attempted 9.0 treys per game over the last 5 games, 3.0 higher than he's attempted overall this season.
Brandon Miller has averaged 37.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games while at home, 5.5 more than he's averaged over the course of the year at home.
The 9th-quickest pace offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Hornets.
Brandon Miller will hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home city generally improves stat production across the board.

Favors Under

Brandon Miller has committed 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.2 more than he's committed overall this year.
This year when they have the home court advantage, the opposing team's starting SFs have tallied 9.7 shot attempts per game (14th-fewest in the league) vs. the Memphis Grizzlies, making this a tough matchup.
The Charlotte Hornets are expected to experience a decrease in opportunities in this contest from being pitted against the 4th-slowest tempo road team in the league over the last 5 games (the Grizzlies).
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and bring about bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Charlotte Hornets grade out 4thworst in in the league while playing at home with a mere 9.0 offensive boards per game over the last 20 games.
Over the last 5 games when they are at home, the other team has brought down 11.8 offensive rebounds per game (4th-most in the league) vs. the Memphis Grizzlies (preserving possessions that can generate more opportunities for offense).