Brandon Miller Points - Player Prop Bet 1/12/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Brandon Miller

F · Charlotte Hornets

Points

San Antonio Spurs vs Charlotte Hornets · Jan 12, 2024

Updated Jan 13, 2024 1:07 AM EST

Analysis

Brandon Miller Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 15.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 14.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Brandon Miller has attempted 7.8 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games, 2.4 more than he's attempted over the course of the year.
Among all players in the NBA, Brandon Miller registers in the 81st percentile for playing time, logging a colossal 30.9 minutes per game this year.
In terms of shooting, the Hornets's exceptional 47.4% field goal percentage when playing away from home places 7th-best in the NBA over the last 18 games.
The San Antonio Spurs have played at the 2nd-fastest tempo in the NBA over the last 15 games, which should lead to more plays for the Charlotte Hornets.
Brandon Miller has sunk 90.0% of his free throws over the last 10 games on the road, 12.5% more than he's made over the course of the season when playing on the road.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the NBA, Brandon Miller slots into the 89th percentile for personal fouls, putting up a colossal 2.7 fouls per game this year.
The matchup against the Spurs is a difficult one for scoring; opposing starting SFs have posted the 15th-lowest Field Goal% in the NBA this year (36.0%).
The 2nd-most lethargic tempo offense in the league over the last 25 games has been the Charlotte Hornets.
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and create extra chances for scoring and assists, but the Charlotte Hornets grade out 2ndworst in in the NBA away from home with only 9.0 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games.
The Spurs have given up the 5th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.6) in the NBA to the other team over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists).