Brandon Miller Assists - Player Prop Bet 11/22/2023

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Brandon Miller

NBA · Player Props

Brandon Miller

F · Charlotte Hornets

Assists

Charlotte Hornets vs Washington Wizards · Nov 22, 2023

Updated Nov 22, 2023 11:50 PM EST

Analysis

Brandon Miller Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-160/+125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -195 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ +125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The 4th-speediest pace offense in the NBA over the last 8 games has been the Hornets.
The Washington Wizards have played at the speediest tempo in the NBA in their home stadium this year, which should lead to more opportunities for the Charlotte Hornets.
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and produce added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Charlotte Hornets grade out 12thbest in in the league as the home team with 12.7 offensive rebounds per game this year.
Brandon Miller is expected to see an increase in productivity across the board as a result of owning the home court advantage in this game.

Favors Under

Brandon Miller has averaged 2.7 personal fouls per game on the road this year, putting him in the 82nd percentile -- among the NBA's highest-fouling.
This year when they are at home, their opposition has brought down 13.5 offensive rebounds per game (2nd-highest in the NBA) against the Wizards (retaining possessions that can result in added opportunities for offense).

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