Brandon Ingram Points - Player Prop Bet 4/9/2026

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Brandon Ingram

NBA · Player Props

Brandon Ingram

F · Toronto Raptors

Points

Toronto Raptors vs Miami Heat · Apr 9, 2026

Updated Apr 9, 2026 10:38 PM EST

Analysis

Brandon Ingram Points Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 21.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 21.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This year when they have the home court advantage, the opposing team's starting SFs have averaged 5.8 3-point attempts per game (3rd-highest in the league) vs. the Miami Heat, marking this as a strong matchup.
The Heat have played at the quickest pace-of-play in the league this year, which should boost possessions for the Raptors.
The Toronto Raptors rank as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games while playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists).
Over the last 5 games, opposing starting SFs have attempted 6.0 free throws per game (3rd-highest in the NBA) vs. the Heat, finding it easy to draw fouls.

Favors Under

The Raptors check in as the least aggressive offense in the league over the last 20 games when it comes to three-point attempts.
The 9th-slowest pace-of-play team in the NBA this year has been the Raptors.

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