Brandon Ingram Points - Player Prop Bet 3/3/2026

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NBA · Player Props

Brandon Ingram

F · Toronto Raptors

Points

Toronto Raptors vs New York Knicks · Mar 3, 2026

Updated Mar 3, 2026 9:48 PM EST

Analysis

Brandon Ingram Points Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-102/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 20.5 @ -106 before it was bet up to 21.5 @ -102.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The matchup vs. New York is a good one for threes; when the Knicks are the visiting team, opposing starting SFs have put up the highest 3-point rate in the NBA this year (48.0%).
The Raptors have been the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

As it relates to shots from behind the three-point arc, the 4th-least aggressive offense in the NBA with the home court advantage over the last 5 games has been the Raptors.
The Raptors have played at the 9th-most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 5 games while playing at home.
The Knicks have played at the 6th-most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 25 games, which ought to lead to fewer opportunities for the Toronto Raptors.
Over the last 10 games when they are at home, the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted 2.5 free throws per game (7th-fewest in the NBA) against the New York Knicks, facing an uphill battle to get to the charity stripe.