Brandon Clarke Points - Player Prop Bet 12/7/2024

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Brandon Clarke

NBA · Player Props

Brandon Clarke

F-G · Memphis Grizzlies

Points

Boston Celtics vs Memphis Grizzlies · Dec 7, 2024

Updated Dec 7, 2024 10:59 PM EST

Analysis

Brandon Clarke Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-120/-102).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ -113 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ -102.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Brandon Clarke has successfully made 71.5% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 10 games, 11.5% more than he's sunk over the course of the season.
The fastest tempo visiting team in the NBA this year has been the Grizzlies.
The Grizzlies check in as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Brandon Clarke has successfully made 6.3% of his three-point attempts while playing away from home this year, ranking him in the 5th percentile among all players in the NBA.
The number of threes made against Kristaps Porzingis has been very low (0.4 per game) when he is at home and matched up against opposing starting Cs since the start of last season (4th percentile).
The Celtics have played at the most lethargic tempo in the NBA in their home stadium this year, which ought to lead to decreased opportunities for the Grizzlies.
Brandon Clarke will not enjoy the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home stadium tends to decrease player performance in all stat categories.

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