Brandon Clarke Points - Player Prop Bet 11/20/2024

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Brandon Clarke

NBA · Player Props

Brandon Clarke

F-G · Memphis Grizzlies

Points

Memphis Grizzlies vs Philadelphia 76ers · Nov 20, 2024

Updated Nov 20, 2024 8:09 PM EST

Analysis

Brandon Clarke Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (+106/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ +106.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Brandon Clarke has sunk 59.9% of his field goal attempts over the last 10 games, 7.8% higher than he's put through the hoop in all games this season.
The most up-tempo pace-of-play team in the league over the last 10 games has been the Grizzlies.
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and generate extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Grizzlies rank 4th-best in in the NBA with 12.5 offensive boards per game over the last 15 games.
Brandon Clarke ought to see a spike in productivity in all stat categories as a result of controlling the home court advantage in this game.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the NBA, Brandon Clarke places in the 5th percentile for three-point efficiency while playing at home with a poor 0.0% rate this year.
When it comes to shot attempts from downtown, the 10th-least aggressive team in the league on their home court this year has been the Grizzlies.
The showdown with Joel Embiid slots into the 4th percentile for difficulty with opposing starting Cs putting up only 10.3 points per game since the start of last season when they are on their home court.
The 76ers have played at the 3rd-most lethargic tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games, which should reduce possessions for the Grizzlies.
The matchup against Joel Embiid is a tough one for drawing fouls; when Embiid is playing on the road and guarding fellow starting Cs since the start of last season, they have attempted a mere 1.7 free throws per game (4th percentile).

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