Brandin Podziemski Points - Player Prop Bet 12/25/2023

reorder

We’re hiring: Junior AI Product & Automation Engineer — Freelance → Learn More

NBA · Player Props

Brandin Podziemski

G · Golden State Warriors

Points

Denver Nuggets vs Golden State Warriors · Dec 25, 2023

Updated Dec 25, 2023 1:47 PM EST

Analysis

Brandin Podziemski Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-132/-103).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 11.5 @ -136 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -103.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Brandin Podziemski has attempted 9.6 shots from the field per game over the last 5 games, 2.2 higher than he's attempted overall this season.
Brandin Podziemski has attempted 4.8 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 1.8 higher than he's attempted overall this year.
Brandin Podziemski has been on the court for 31.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games while playing on the road, 9.2 higher than he's been on the court for overall this year on the road.
Over the last 5 games when they are away from home, the other team's starting SGs have averaged 20.4 points per game (29th-most in the NBA) vs. the Nuggets, designating this as a strong matchup for offensive productivity.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and result in further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Warriors grade out 1stbest in in the league with 13.4 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the NBA, Brandin Podziemski registers in the 85th percentile for technical fouls, logging a monstrous 0.1 fouls per game this year.
The Golden State Warriors are expected to see a decline in plays today from sharing the court with the slowest tempo team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Nuggets).
The Denver Nuggets have allowed the most offensive rebounds per game (12.7) in the NBA to their opposition over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists).
Brandin Podziemski will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing while traveling tends to decrease stat production in all stat categories.