Brandin Podziemski Points - Player Prop Bet 11/22/2023

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Brandin Podziemski

NBA · Player Props

Brandin Podziemski

G · Golden State Warriors

Points

Phoenix Suns vs Golden State Warriors · Nov 22, 2023

Updated Nov 23, 2023 2:43 AM EST

Analysis

Brandin Podziemski Points Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-143/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ -143.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Brandin Podziemski has successfully made 57.5% of his 3-point attempts over the last 5 games on the road, 16.4% higher than he's made from beyond the arc in all games this year when playing on the road.
Since the start of last season when they are the visiting squad, opposing squads have tallied 31.0 three attempts per game (fewest in the NBA) vs. the Phoenix Suns, designating this as a challenging matchup.
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and lead to further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Golden State Warriors grade out 3rdbest in in the NBA with 13.9 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the league, Brandin Podziemski measures in the 24th percentile for scoring effectiveness with a a bad 35.6% rate this year.
The Golden State Warriors check in as the 5th-least efficient shooting team in the league as the road team this year.
The Suns have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, which should lead to decreased opportunities for the Golden State Warriors.
This year, their opposition has nabbed 12.3 offensive rebounds per game (3rd-highest in the league) vs. the Suns (retaining possessions that can generate more chances for offense).
This matchup may be a positive one for getting to the free-throw line; when the Suns are away from home, opposing squads have attempted a whopping 27.2 free throws per game over the last 5 games (3rd-most in the league).

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