Brandin Podziemski Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 12/28/2023

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Brandin Podziemski

NBA · Player Props

Brandin Podziemski

G · Golden State Warriors

Made 3 Point Shots

Golden State Warriors vs Miami Heat · Dec 28, 2023

Updated Dec 29, 2023 3:04 AM EST

Analysis

Brandin Podziemski Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Brandin Podziemski has sunk 39.3% of his attempts from downtown this year, ranking in the 77th percentile among all players in the league.
Brandin Podziemski has played 28.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.1 more than he's played over the course of the season.
The matchup vs. the Miami Heat is a strong one for 3-point attempts; the opposing team's starting SGs have totaled the 30th-most three attempts per game in the NBA this year (6.3).
The Golden State Warriors have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Over the last 25 games, the other team has collected 9.0 offensive rebounds per game (fewest in the NBA) against the Heat (turning over possessions that could otherwise lead to bonus opportunities for offense).

Favors Under

Brandin Podziemski has accumulated 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, 0.1 more than he's accumulated in all games this season at home.
The 10th-least up-tempo pace-of-play home offense in the league over the last 10 games has been the Warriors.
The Heat have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games away from their home stadium, which should decrease possessions for the Warriors.

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