Bradley Beal Points - Player Prop Bet 4/4/2025

reorder

NBA · Player Props

Bradley Beal

G · Phoenix Suns

Points

Boston Celtics vs Phoenix Suns · Apr 4, 2025

Updated Apr 5, 2025 2:30 AM EST

Analysis

Bradley Beal Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -135 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Bradley Beal has sunk 6.6 field goals per game this year, ranking in the 87th percentile among all players in the NBA.
Out of all players in the league, Bradley Beal measures in the 86th percentile for playing time, logging a whopping 32.1 minutes per game this year.
With respect to scoring, the Phoenix Suns's remarkable 119.4 points per game away from home rates 6th-strongest in the NBA over the last 10 games.
The matchup against Boston is a positive one for shot attempts from downtown; when the Celtics are playing at home, opposing starting SGs have tallied the 4th-most 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (6.8).
Bradley Beal has successfully made 3.8 free throws per game over the last 10 games on the road, 1.3 higher than he's converted over the course of the season while playing away from home.

Favors Under

Bradley Beal has averaged 2.6 personal fouls per game away from his home court this year, placing him in the 91st percentile -- among the NBA's most-whistled.
The Suns have played at the 3rd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games.
The Phoenix Suns are expected to experience a decrease in plays today from being pitted against the most sluggish pace team in the NBA this year (the Celtics).
The Phoenix Suns have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games when playing on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).
Over the last 10 games when they are on the road, the opposing team's starting SGs have attempted 1.4 foul shots per game (fewest in the league) against the Boston Celtics, finding it difficult to get to the foul line.