Bradley Beal Points - Player Prop Bet 12/31/2024

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Bradley Beal

NBA · Player Props

Bradley Beal

G · Phoenix Suns

Points

Phoenix Suns vs Memphis Grizzlies · Dec 31, 2024

Updated Jan 1, 2025 1:59 AM EST

Analysis

Bradley Beal Points Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 21.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 20.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Bradley Beal has converted 9.6 baskets per game over the last 5 games, 2.2 more than he's converted in all games this year.
Bradley Beal has successfully made 3.2 threes per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 more than he's made from 3-point range in all games this year.
Bradley Beal has been on the court for 33.7 minutes per game while at home this year, ranking him in the 90th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the NBA.
When it comes to 3-pointers, the Phoenix Suns's fantastic 38.0% rate of successful threes settles in as the 5th-strongest in the NBA this year.
The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league this year, which should lead to increased possessions for the Phoenix Suns.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the NBA, Bradley Beal places in the 84th percentile for personal fouls, putting up a colossal 2.6 fouls per game at home this year.
The matchup vs. Memphis is a hard one for shots from the field; when the Memphis Grizzlies are the visiting team, opposing starting SFs have tallied the 2nd-least shot attempts per game in the NBA this year (9.7).
The most lethargic tempo team in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Suns.
The Phoenix Suns have been the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).
Over the last 12 games, the other team's starting SFs have attempted 2.6 free throws per game (3rd-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Memphis Grizzlies, facing an uphill battle to get to the charity stripe.

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