Bradley Beal Points - Player Prop Bet 12/27/2024

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Bradley Beal

NBA · Player Props

Bradley Beal

G · Phoenix Suns

Points

Phoenix Suns vs Dallas Mavericks · Dec 27, 2024

Updated Dec 28, 2024 3:59 AM EST

Analysis

Bradley Beal Points Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (+105/-139).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 21.5 @ +107 before it was bet up to 22.5 @ +105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Bradley Beal has made 9.0 field goals per game over the last 5 games, 1.7 more than he's converted over the course of the year.
Bradley Beal has attempted 5.8 three-point shots per game this season, quite a bit higher than his 4.5 mark last season.
Bradley Beal has tallied 33.3 minutes per game at home this year, putting him in the 88th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the league.
The Phoenix Suns have been the 4th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA this year.
This year, the other team's starting SGs have averaged 6.1 three attempts per game (5th-most in the NBA) against the Dallas Mavericks, designating this as a positive matchup.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the NBA, Bradley Beal ranks in the 84th percentile for personal fouls, registering a whopping 2.6 fouls per game while playing at home this year.
The clash with Klay Thompson registers in the 20th percentile for difficulty with opposing starting SGs making a mere 41.3% of their shot attempts from the field this year.
The most sluggish pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Phoenix Suns.
The Suns rank as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).
Over the last 10 games, opposing starting SGs have attempted 1.8 free throws per game (6th-lowest in the league) against the Mavericks, making it tough to get to the foul line.

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