Bradley Beal Points - Player Prop Bet 12/25/2024

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Bradley Beal

NBA · Player Props

Bradley Beal

G · Phoenix Suns

Points

Phoenix Suns vs Denver Nuggets · Dec 25, 2024

Updated Dec 26, 2024 3:19 AM EST

Analysis

Bradley Beal Points Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 20.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 20.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Bradley Beal has made 6.8 baskets per game while at home this year, putting him in the 87th percentile among all players in the NBA.
Bradley Beal has made 2.1 threes per game at home this year, ranking him in the 80th percentile out of all players in the league.
Among all players in the league, Bradley Beal lands in the 86th percentile for playing time, averaging a whopping 32.8 minutes per game when playing at home this year.
The Suns have been the 8th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The Suns will likely see a spike in possessions in this contest from competing against the 2nd-fastest pace team in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Denver Nuggets).

Favors Under

Out of all players in the NBA, Bradley Beal comes in at the 78th percentile for personal fouls, posting a massive 2.4 fouls per game while on his home court this year.
Over the last 25 games, the other team's starting SGs have registered 15.6 points per game (lowest in the league) against the Nuggets, labeling this as a hard matchup for offensive productivity.
The slowest tempo offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Phoenix Suns.
The Suns rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games while at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).

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