Bradley Beal Points - Player Prop Bet 1/22/2024

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Bradley Beal

NBA · Player Props

Bradley Beal

G · Phoenix Suns

Points

Phoenix Suns vs Chicago Bulls · Jan 22, 2024

Updated Jan 23, 2024 2:05 AM EST

Analysis

Bradley Beal Points Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-136/+102).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 18.5 @ +110 before it was bet up to 18.5 @ -136.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Bradley Beal has successfully made 9.2 baskets per game over the last 5 games, 2.1 higher than he's put through the net overall this season.
Bradley Beal has converted 2.6 treys per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 more than he's converted from three over the course of the year.
Bradley Beal has averaged 38.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games while at home, 6.1 more than he's averaged in all games this season at home.
With respect to offense, the Suns's stellar 122.6 points per game rates 3rd-most in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The Suns have played at the 9th-speediest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games.

Favors Under

Bradley Beal has averaged 2.6 personal fouls per game when playing at home this year, placing him in the 86th percentile -- among the league's most foul-prone.
The matchup vs. the Chicago Bulls is a tough one for field goal attempts; the opposition's starting SGs have tallied the 15th-least field goal attempts per game in the league this year (10.6).
The Bulls have played at the most sluggish pace in the league this year, which should reduce plays for the Suns.
Offensive rebounds continue possession and bring about more opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Suns rank 4thworst in in the league with a mere 8.2 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.
On the road, the Bulls have allowed the 5th-most offensive boards per game (11.8) in the NBA to the other team over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists).

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