Bradley Beal Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 1/1/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Bradley Beal

G · Phoenix Suns

Made 3 Point Shots

Phoenix Suns vs Portland Trail Blazers · Jan 1, 2024

Updated Jan 1, 2024 9:02 PM EST

Analysis

Bradley Beal Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+126/-164).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -161 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -164.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Bradley Beal has successfully made 56.7% of his attempts from beyond the arc over the last 5 games at home, 9.1% more than he's converted from beyond the arc over the course of the year with the home court advantage.
In terms of 3-pointers, the Suns's stellar 38.1% rate of made threes while on their home court rates 7th-most in the league this year.
This year when they are on their home court, the opposition's starting SGs have averaged 5.8 3-point attempts per game (23rd-most in the NBA) vs. the Trail Blazers, marking this as a good matchup.
Bradley Beal will hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on your home court tends to boost stat production for all stats.

Favors Under

Bradley Beal has attempted just 3.1 treys per game this season, quite a bit less than his 4.4 rate last season.
Compared to last season's 33.5 rate, Bradley Beal's playing time has tailed off this season to 27.1 minutes per game.
The Suns have played at the slowest tempo in the league over the last 25 games.
The Suns are expected to experience a decrease in opportunities today from competing against the 2nd-least up-tempo pace-of-play away team in the league over the last 5 games (the Trail Blazers).
The Suns check in as the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).