Bradley Beal Assists - Player Prop Bet 12/23/2024

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Bradley Beal

NBA · Player Props

Bradley Beal

G · Phoenix Suns

Assists

Denver Nuggets vs Phoenix Suns · Dec 23, 2024

Updated Dec 24, 2024 3:21 AM EST

Analysis

Bradley Beal Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-184/+133).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -154 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -184.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Bradley Beal has posted 3.9 assists per game while on the road this year, putting him in the 85th percentile -- among the NBA's leaders by this standard.
Bradley Beal has played 33.5 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 88th percentile.
The Phoenix Suns are expected to see a spike in plays in this contest from facing the 2nd-fastest tempo team in the league over the last 10 games (the Denver Nuggets).

Favors Under

Out of all players in the league, Bradley Beal comes in at the 93rd percentile for personal fouls, putting up a monstrous 2.8 fouls per game this year.
The Phoenix Suns have played at the 2nd-slowest tempo in the league on the road this year.
Offensive rebounds continue possession and lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Suns grade out 3rdworst in in the league with only 7.7 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games.
Bradley Beal will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing without the home court advantage usually decreases player production for all stats.

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