Bradley Beal Assists - Player Prop Bet 3/7/2024

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Bradley Beal

NBA · Player Props

Bradley Beal

G · Phoenix Suns

Assists

Phoenix Suns vs Toronto Raptors · Mar 7, 2024

Updated Mar 8, 2024 2:51 AM EST

Analysis

Bradley Beal Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-137/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ +108 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ -137.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Bradley Beal has averaged 4.5 assists per game this year, placing him in the 89th percentile -- one of the best in the league in this category recently.
Out of all players in the NBA, Bradley Beal comes in at the 81st percentile for playing time, tallying a monstrous 31.1 minutes per game playing at home this year.
The Phoenix Suns have played at the quickest tempo in the league over the last 5 games as the home team.
The Raptors have played at the speediest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to more plays for the Suns.
Bradley Beal will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on your home court tends to increase stat production in all facets of the game.

Favors Under

Bradley Beal has averaged 0.4 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.3 higher than he's averaged in all games this year.
The Suns check in as the 8th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league playing at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Toronto Raptors have given up the most offensive boards per game (12.1) in the league to opposing teams over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).

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