Bradley Beal Assists - Player Prop Bet 1/28/2024

reorder

We’re hiring: Junior AI Product & Automation Engineer — Freelance → Learn More

NBA · Player Props

Bradley Beal

G · Phoenix Suns

Assists

Orlando Magic vs Phoenix Suns · Jan 28, 2024

Updated Jan 28, 2024 6:17 PM EST

Analysis

Bradley Beal Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ +105 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Bradley Beal has put up 5.3 assists per game since the start of last season on the road, ranking him among the hottest players in the league in this category in recent games: 92nd percentile.
Bradley Beal has averaged 32.6 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 86th percentile.
The 7th-most up-tempo tempo away team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Suns.
This year when they are away from home, their opposition has nabbed 8.8 offensive boards per game (lowest in the NBA) against the Orlando Magic (lessening possessions that could otherwise produce additional opportunities for offense).

Favors Under

Out of all players in the league, Bradley Beal places in the 90th percentile for personal fouls, logging an enormous 2.8 fouls per game this year.
The Phoenix Suns are expected to suffer a reduction in possessions in this game from competing against the most lethargic pace offense in the league over the last 20 games (the Orlando Magic).
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and generate additional chances for scoring and assists, but the Phoenix Suns grade out 2ndworst in in the league with only 7.2 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.
Bradley Beal will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing while traveling tends to lower player performance in all facets of the game.