Bradley Beal Assists - Player Prop Bet 1/11/2024

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Bradley Beal

NBA · Player Props

Bradley Beal

G · Phoenix Suns

Assists

Los Angeles Lakers vs Phoenix Suns · Jan 11, 2024

Updated Jan 12, 2024 3:03 AM EST

Analysis

Bradley Beal Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-114/-106).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ +104 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Bradley Beal has posted 3.8 assists per game this year, placing him in the 84th percentile -- among the hottest players in the NBA by this standard recently.
Bradley Beal has tallied 36.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.0 higher than he's tallied in all games this season.
The Suns are expected to see a spike in possessions in this game from competing against the speediest pace home team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Los Angeles Lakers).
The Phoenix Suns check in as the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league as the away team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).
The Los Angeles Lakers have given up the 2nd-least offensive boards per game (9.3) in the NBA to the other team over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Out of all players in the league, Bradley Beal ranks in the 83rd percentile for technical fouls, posting a colossal 0.1 fouls per game on the road since the start of last season.
The 2nd-least up-tempo pace road team in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Suns.
Bradley Beal figures to suffer a drop-off in efficiency in all stat categories due to playing away from home in this matchup.

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