Bobby Portis Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 3/1/2023

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Bobby Portis

NBA · Player Props

Bobby Portis

F · Milwaukee Bucks

Rebounds

Milwaukee Bucks vs Orlando Magic · Mar 1, 2023

Updated Mar 2, 2023 1:11 AM EST

Analysis

Bobby Portis Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (+116/-142).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ -122 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ +116.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Bobby Portis has compiled 8.5 defensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games, 1.7 higher than he's compiled over the course of the season.
The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the 5th-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA while at home this year.
The Magic have played at the 2nd-quickest pace in the NBA over the last 10 games on the road, which should lead to increased plays for the Bucks.
The Milwaukee Bucks check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists).
Bobby Portis will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing at home generally improves player production in all facets of the game.

Favors Under

Bobby Portis has been called for 2.4 personal fouls per game when playing at home this year, ranking him in the 77th percentile -- among the NBA's most-whistled.
Away from their home court, the Magic have given up the 8th-most offensive rebounds per game (10.7) in the NBA to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists).

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