Bobby Portis Points - Player Prop Bet 3/14/2024

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Bobby Portis

NBA · Player Props

Bobby Portis

F · Milwaukee Bucks

Points

Milwaukee Bucks vs Philadelphia 76ers · Mar 14, 2024

Updated Mar 15, 2024 12:11 AM EST

Analysis

Bobby Portis Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-104/-118).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -112 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ -104.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Bobby Portis has successfully made 50.5% of his 3-pointers over the last 10 games at home, 14.1% higher than he's converted from 3-point range over the course of the season when playing at home.
The 4th-most up-tempo pace-of-play home offense in the NBA this year has been the Bucks.
Bobby Portis has sunk 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games at home, 11.8% more than he's sunk over the course of the year while on his home court.
As a team, the Bucks have been terrific at getting to the free-throw line: best in the NBA this year, tallying 25.3 foul shots per game.
Bobby Portis will hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home city generally improves player production in all facets of the game.

Favors Under

Bobby Portis has committed 2.4 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the highest-fouling players in the NBA (83rd percentile).
The Milwaukee Bucks are expected to see a decline in opportunities in this contest from squaring off against the 2nd-slowest tempo team in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Philadelphia 76ers).
The Milwaukee Bucks check in as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

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