Bobby Portis Points - Player Prop Bet 1/31/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Bobby Portis

F · Milwaukee Bucks

Points

Portland Trail Blazers vs Milwaukee Bucks · Jan 31, 2024

Updated Jan 31, 2024 10:58 PM EST

Analysis

Bobby Portis Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 11.5 @ -135 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Bobby Portis has sunk 48.0% of his shots from downtown over the last 10 games, 16.5% more than he's made from 3-point range in all games this season.
The Bucks rank as the highest scoring offense in the NBA on the road this year.
The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the speediest tempo in the league over the last 10 games while on the road.
While at home, the Trail Blazers have given up the least offensive boards per game (7.2) in the NBA to their opposition over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
Bobby Portis has sunk 2.2 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 higher than he's put through the hoop over the course of the year.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the NBA, Bobby Portis lands in the 80th percentile for personal fouls, tallying a massive 2.4 fouls per game while playing on the road this year.
Over the last 15 games, opposing clubs have registered 120.3 points per game (8th-highest in the league) against the Trail Blazers, branding this as a positive matchup for offensive performance.
The Milwaukee Bucks will likely suffer a drop-off in opportunities in this contest from facing the 5th-most sluggish pace home team in the league over the last 5 games (the Portland Trail Blazers).
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and bring about extra chances for scoring and assists, but the Bucks grade out 3rdworst in in the NBA away from home with just 9.0 offensive rebounds per game this year.
This matchup may be a good one for getting to the charity stripe; opposing clubs have attempted a colossal 25.3 foul shots per game over the last 20 games (6th-most in the league).