Bobby Portis Points - Player Prop Bet 12/25/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Bobby Portis

F · Milwaukee Bucks

Points

New York Knicks vs Milwaukee Bucks · Dec 25, 2023

Updated Dec 25, 2023 6:07 PM EST

Analysis

Bobby Portis Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Bobby Portis has sunk 7.6 baskets per game over the last 5 games, 2.3 higher than he's made in all games this year.
When it comes to scoring, the Bucks's exceptional 128.7 points per game places best in the league over the last 20 games.
The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games.
The Knicks have played at the 8th-quickest pace in the league over the last 5 games, which should boost possessions for the Bucks.
The New York Knicks have allowed the 6th-least offensive boards per game (10.3) in the NBA to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Out of all players in the league, Bobby Portis rates in the 80th percentile for personal fouls, averaging a whopping 2.5 fouls per game this year.
This matchup is a good one for three-point attempts; their opposition has tallied the 6th-most three attempts per game in the league over the last 10 games (37.9).
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and bring about added opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Bucks grade out 3rdworst in in the NBA while playing on the road with a mere 9.1 offensive rebounds per game this year.
Bobby Portis will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing while traveling tends to lower player production across the board.