Bobby Portis Points - Player Prop Bet 12/2/2023

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Bobby Portis

NBA · Player Props

Bobby Portis

F · Milwaukee Bucks

Points

Milwaukee Bucks vs Atlanta Hawks · Dec 2, 2023

Updated Dec 3, 2023 1:09 AM EST

Analysis

Bobby Portis Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-130/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

With respect to shooting, the Bucks's impressive 120.5 points per game when playing away from home settles in as the 3rd-highest in the NBA this year.
This matchup is a challenging one for three-pointers; when the Atlanta Hawks are the visiting squad, opposing clubs have put up the 5th-lowest three rate in the NBA this year (33.7%).
The 2nd-speediest tempo team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Bucks.
The Atlanta Hawks have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games away from their home city, which ought to increase plays for the Bucks.
Bobby Portis has sunk 100.0% of his free throws over the last 10 games on the road, 15.8% higher than he's put through the net over the course of the year away from home.

Favors Under

Bobby Portis has attempted a mere 2.5 three-pointers per game this season, quite a bit lower than his 3.7 rate last season.
Bobby Portis has accumulated 0.1 technical fouls per game when playing at home this year, ranking in the 83rd percentile -- among the NBA's most-whistled when it comes to technicals.
Offensive rebounds continue possession and create more opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Milwaukee Bucks rank 4thworst in in the NBA without the home court advantage with just 9.2 offensive boards per game this year.
While playing on the road, the Hawks have allowed the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (12.0) in the league to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists).

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