Bobby Portis Points - Player Prop Bet 11/18/2023

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Bobby Portis

NBA · Player Props

Bobby Portis

F · Milwaukee Bucks

Points

Milwaukee Bucks vs Dallas Mavericks · Nov 18, 2023

Updated Nov 19, 2023 12:53 AM EST

Analysis

Bobby Portis Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 13.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 13.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

In terms of offense, the Bucks's excellent 118.1 points per game as the away team measures as the 6th-most in the NBA this year.
This year when they are on the road, opposing teams have averaged 34.0 three attempts per game (10th-lowest in the league) vs. the Mavericks, marking this as a challenging matchup.
The Bucks have played at the 3rd-speediest pace in the league over the last 5 games without the home court advantage.
The Milwaukee Bucks are expected to see a spike in plays in this contest from sharing the court with the 2nd-speediest tempo home offense in the league this year (the Mavericks).
In comparison to last season's 1.7 clip, Bobby Portis's number of foul shots has increased this season to 2.8 foul shots per game.

Favors Under

Bobby Portis has successfully made just 15.0% of his shots from behind the three-point arc this season, significantly less than his 34.5 rate last season.
Out of all players in the NBA, Bobby Portis measures in the 86th percentile for technical fouls, tallying an enormous 0.2 fouls per game when playing at home this year.
The Milwaukee Bucks rank as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA away from home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
This year, the other team has secured 11.9 offensive boards per game (6th-highest in the league) vs. the Dallas Mavericks (lengthening possessions that can result in extra chances for offense).

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