Bobby Portis Points - Player Prop Bet 3/4/2023

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Bobby Portis

NBA · Player Props

Bobby Portis

F · Milwaukee Bucks

Points

Milwaukee Bucks vs Philadelphia 76ers · Mar 4, 2023

Updated Mar 5, 2023 1:43 AM EST

Analysis

Bobby Portis Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-122/-106).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ -106.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Bobby Portis has sunk 1.8 threes per game this year, ranking him in the 79th percentile among all players in the league.
This matchup is a hard one for threes; when the 76ers are away from home, opposing squads have tallied the least shots from downtown per game in the NBA against them this year (11.4).
The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the 5th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA while at home this year.
The Milwaukee Bucks check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists).
Bobby Portis has sunk 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 27.1% higher than he's put through the hoop over the course of the year.

Favors Under

Bobby Portis has been called for 2.4 personal fouls per game while at home this year, placing him in the 77th percentile -- among the NBA's most-whistled.
The 76ers have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace in the league over the last 10 games, which ought to lead to fewer plays for the Bucks.
While playing away from home, the 76ers have allowed the 6th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.8) in the league to opposing squads over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
This matchup may be a favorable one for getting to the foul line; when the 76ers are on the road, the other team have attempted a massive 26.4 free throws per game over the last 5 games (5th-most in the NBA).

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