Bobby Portis Points - Player Prop Bet 2/24/2023

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Bobby Portis

NBA · Player Props

Bobby Portis

F · Milwaukee Bucks

Points

Milwaukee Bucks vs Miami Heat · Feb 24, 2023

Updated Feb 25, 2023 12:36 AM EST

Analysis

Bobby Portis Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-108/-112).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -112.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Bobby Portis has sunk 1.8 shots from downtown per game this year, placing him in the 79th percentile out of all players in the league.
The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the 5th-most up-tempo pace in the NBA while playing at home this year.
The Milwaukee Bucks have been the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).
Away from home, the Heat have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (8.5) in the league to the other team over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Bobby Portis has made 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 27.1% more than he's sunk in all games this season.

Favors Under

Bobby Portis has tallied 2.4 personal fouls per game at home this year, ranking in the 77th percentile -- among the NBA's highest-fouling.
This matchup is a good one for attempts from beyond the arc; opposing clubs have tallied the 4th-most 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (37.5).
The Heat have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league this year, which should lead to fewer possessions for the Bucks.
This matchup may be a good one for getting to the free throw line; opposing squads have attempted a massive 29.2 free throws per game over the last 5 games (3rd-most in the league).

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