Bilal Coulibaly Points - Player Prop Bet 2/22/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Bilal Coulibaly

G · Washington Wizards

Points

Denver Nuggets vs Washington Wizards · Feb 22, 2024

Updated Feb 22, 2024 10:45 PM EST

Analysis

Bilal Coulibaly Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-128/-101).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ -101.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Bilal Coulibaly has attempted 9.4 shots from the field per game over the last 5 games away from his home court, 2.2 higher than he's attempted in all games this year on the road.
Bilal Coulibaly has attempted 4.6 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games while playing on the road, 1.6 more than he's attempted overall this year on the road.
The Washington Wizards check in as the 7th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games when playing on the road.
The matchup vs. Denver is a good one; when the Denver Nuggets have the home court advantage, they have allowed the 29th-most points per game in the league to opposing starting SGs over the last 5 games (20.4).
The fastest tempo offense in the league this year has been the Washington Wizards.

Favors Under

The Denver Nuggets have played at the slowest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games in their home city, which ought to lead to decreased opportunities for the Wizards.
The Wizards rank as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).
Over the last 20 games when they are away from home, the other team has come down with 11.0 offensive boards per game (10th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Denver Nuggets (maintaining possessions that can bring about further chances for offense).
Bilal Coulibaly will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home stadium usually decreases player production for all stats.