Bilal Coulibaly Points - Player Prop Bet 11/25/2023

NBA · Player Props

Bilal Coulibaly

G · Washington Wizards

Points

Washington Wizards vs Atlanta Hawks · Nov 25, 2023

Updated Nov 25, 2023 11:57 PM EST

Analysis

Bilal Coulibaly Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-120/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Bilal Coulibaly has made 57.7% of his field goal attempts over the last 10 games at home, 8.9% higher than he's put through the hoop over the course of the year while at home.
The Washington Wizards have been the 8th-highest scoring offense in the league this year.
The Washington Wizards have played at the 2nd-fastest pace in the NBA this year.
The Wizards will likely see a rise in plays in this game from squaring off against the 3rd-speediest pace-of-play home team in the league this year (the Hawks).
Bilal Coulibaly will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing in your home stadium generally increases player performance for all stats.

Favors Under

Bilal Coulibaly has been called for 3.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games when playing away from home, 0.9 higher than he's been called for in all games this season on the road.
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and lead to further opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Washington Wizards grade out 1stworst in in the league with a mere 9.2 offensive boards per game since the start of last season.
This year when they are on the road, opposing clubs have come down with 11.9 offensive boards per game (3rd-most in the league) against the Atlanta Hawks (preserving possessions that can result in extra opportunities for offense).
Out of all players in the league, Bilal Coulibaly rates in the 10th percentile for foul-shot effectiveness without the home court advantage with a a poor 50.0% rate this year.
This year when they are on their home court, their opposition has attempted 24.7 foul shots per game (10th-most in the league) against the Hawks, easily managing to get to the free-throw line.