Ben Simmons Points - Player Prop Bet 4/5/2025

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Ben Simmons

NBA · Player Props

Ben Simmons

G-F · LA Clippers

Points

LA Clippers vs Dallas Mavericks · Apr 5, 2025

Updated Apr 6, 2025 3:49 AM EST

Analysis

Ben Simmons Points Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-115/-115).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Ben Simmons has averaged 1.0 personal fouls per game at home this year, ranking him in the 23rd percentile -- among the league's lowest-fouling.
With respect to shooting, the Clippers's stellar 118.8 points per game rates 8th-best in the league over the last 10 games.
The LA Clippers are expected to see a rise in possessions in this game from competing against the 5th-speediest pace-of-play team in the league over the last 10 games (the Dallas Mavericks).
Ben Simmons has sunk a terrific 68.9% of his foul shot attempts this year, quite a bit more than his 33.3 mark last year.
Ben Simmons will possess the home court advantage in this contest. Playing in your home city generally increases stat production in all stat categories.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the league, Ben Simmons comes in at the 1st percentile for scoring prowess while playing at home with a weak 16.0% rate this year.
The 4th-most sluggish pace-of-play team in the league over the last 20 games has been the LA Clippers.
The Clippers check in as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

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