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Ben Simmons

Ben Simmons Points
Player Prop - 4/2/2025

LA Clippers vs New Orleans Pelicans

Ben Simmons Points Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-155/+120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -150 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -155.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Clippers rank as the 4th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games.

The Clippers will likely see an increase in possessions in this game from squaring off against the 7th-fastest pace road offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (the New Orleans Pelicans).

Relative to last year's 33.3% rate, Ben Simmons's foul-shot ability has spiked this year to 68.9%.

Ben Simmons should get a boost in effectiveness in all stat categories considering owning the home court advantage in this matchup.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Out of all players in the league, Ben Simmons registers in the 4th percentile for scoring ability while at home with a lackluster 20.0% rate this year.

Out of all players in the league, Ben Simmons places in the 75th percentile for personal fouls, logging a colossal 2.2 fouls per game this year.

The 3rd-most sluggish pace home team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Clippers.

The LA Clippers rank as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).

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