Ben Simmons Points - Player Prop Bet 4/2/2025

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Ben Simmons

NBA · Player Props

Ben Simmons

G-F · LA Clippers

Points

LA Clippers vs New Orleans Pelicans · Apr 2, 2025

Updated Apr 3, 2025 3:59 AM EST

Analysis

Ben Simmons Points Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-155/+120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -150 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -155.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Clippers rank as the 4th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games.
The Clippers will likely see an increase in possessions in this game from squaring off against the 7th-fastest pace road offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (the New Orleans Pelicans).
Relative to last year's 33.3% rate, Ben Simmons's foul-shot ability has spiked this year to 68.9%.
Ben Simmons should get a boost in effectiveness in all stat categories considering owning the home court advantage in this matchup.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the league, Ben Simmons registers in the 4th percentile for scoring ability while at home with a lackluster 20.0% rate this year.
Out of all players in the league, Ben Simmons places in the 75th percentile for personal fouls, logging a colossal 2.2 fouls per game this year.
The 3rd-most sluggish pace home team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Clippers.
The LA Clippers rank as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).

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