Ben Simmons Points - Player Prop Bet 1/10/2025

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Ben Simmons

NBA · Player Props

Ben Simmons

G-F · Brooklyn Nets

Points

Denver Nuggets vs Brooklyn Nets · Jan 10, 2025

Updated Jan 11, 2025 2:04 AM EST

Analysis

Ben Simmons Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (+106/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ -106 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Ben Simmons has successfully made 58.8% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 15 games, 6.1% more than he's put through the net overall this year.
The Nets check in as the most aggressive offense in the league over the last 20 games as the visting team in regard to 3-point attempts.
The Brooklyn Nets are expected to get a boost in opportunities in this contest from facing the 4th-most up-tempo tempo team in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Denver Nuggets).
Ben Simmons has sunk 1.4 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 higher than he's made over the course of the season.
Over the last 5 games when they are the visiting team, the other team's starting PGs have attempted 6.2 free throws per game (3rd-highest in the NBA) vs. the Nuggets, succeeding in their efforts to get to the free-throw line.

Favors Under

Among all players in the NBA, Ben Simmons comes in at the 78th percentile for personal fouls, logging a massive 2.3 fouls per game this year.
This year when they are away from home, the opposition's starting PGs have averaged 20.5% on 3-pointers (2nd-worst in the NBA) against the Denver Nuggets, resulting in a hard matchup.
The 4th-slowest pace offense in the NBA this year has been the Brooklyn Nets.
The Brooklyn Nets rank as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
Ben Simmons will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home city generally worsens player production in all stat categories.

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