Bam Adebayo Points - Player Prop Bet 12/23/2024

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Bam Adebayo

NBA · Player Props

Bam Adebayo

C-F · Miami Heat

Points

Miami Heat vs Brooklyn Nets · Dec 23, 2024

Updated Dec 24, 2024 3:31 AM EST

Analysis

Bam Adebayo Points Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 17.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 18.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Bam Adebayo has successfully made 58.4% of his field goal attempts over the last 5 games at home, 10.2% more than he's converted over the course of the season playing at home.
Out of all players in the league, Bam Adebayo ranks in the 88th percentile for playing time, registering a massive 33.2 minutes per game playing at home this year.
The Heat have been the 7th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games when playing at home.
The matchup against Nic Claxton is a good one for shots from the field; when matched up against fellow starting Cs this year, they have made a whopping 63.9% of their field goals (100th percentile).
The Miami Heat will likely see an increase in possessions in this game from squaring off against the 9th-most up-tempo tempo road team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Nets).

Favors Under

Bam Adebayo has converted 26.8% of his attempts from downtown this year, placing him in the 22nd percentile out of all players in the league.
The 2nd-most lethargic pace-of-play home offense in the league this year has been the Heat.
The Heat rank as the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).
The faceoff with Nic Claxton in regard to getting to the free-throw line places in the 11th percentile for difficulty with opposing starting Cs attempting only 1.7 free throws per game this year when they are playing at home.

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