Bam Adebayo Points - Player Prop Bet 12/16/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Bam Adebayo

C-F · Miami Heat

Points

Detroit Pistons vs Miami Heat · Dec 16, 2024

Updated Dec 16, 2024 10:24 PM EST

Analysis

Bam Adebayo Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-115/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 17.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 17.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Bam Adebayo has successfully made 38.9% of his 3-pointers over the last 15 games, 10.1% higher than he's converted from downtown overall this season.
Among all players in the league, Bam Adebayo registers in the 93rd percentile for playing time, totaling a whopping 34.9 minutes per game this year.
In terms of offense, the Heat's superb 116.0 points per game settles in as the 10th-strongest in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The matchup against Jalen Duren is a favorable one for threes; when Duren is at home other starting Cs this year, they have tallied a monstrous 2.0 three-point shots per game (100th percentile).
The Pistons have played at the 10th-most up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to increase plays for the Heat.

Favors Under

The 3rd-most sluggish pace-of-play team in the league this year has been the Miami Heat.
The Heat rank as the 9th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games as the away team (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).
Bam Adebayo figures to experience a decrease in production across the board considering playing away from home in this contest.