Bam Adebayo Points - Player Prop Bet 3/29/2024

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Bam Adebayo

NBA · Player Props

Bam Adebayo

C-F · Miami Heat

Points

Miami Heat vs Portland Trail Blazers · Mar 29, 2024

Updated Mar 30, 2024 12:27 AM EST

Analysis

Bam Adebayo Points Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-123/-111).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 17.5 @ -129 before it was bet up to 18.5 @ -123.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Bam Adebayo has successfully made 63.5% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 5 games, 11.2% more than he's put through the hoop in all games this year.
Bam Adebayo has made 53.7% of his attempts from downtown over the last 15 games, 23.0% more than he's made from downtown over the course of the year.
Bam Adebayo has played 33.7 minutes per game while on his home court this year, ranking in the 90th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the league.
The Heat rank as the 9th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league while on their home court this year.
The matchup against Deandre Ayton is a strong one for shots from behind the three-point arc; when Ayton is on the road and defending fellow starting Cs this year, they have attempted an enormous 2.4 3-pointers per game (97th percentile).

Favors Under

Among all players in the NBA, Bam Adebayo measures in the 75th percentile for personal fouls, averaging a whopping 2.2 fouls per game on his home court this year.
The Heat have played at the 2nd-slowest pace in the league this year.
The Miami Heat will likely experience a decrease in possessions today from squaring off against the 7th-slowest tempo offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Portland Trail Blazers).
The Miami Heat have been the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

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