Bam Adebayo Points - Player Prop Bet 3/15/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Bam Adebayo

C-F · Miami Heat

Points

Detroit Pistons vs Miami Heat · Mar 15, 2024

Updated Mar 16, 2024 2:05 AM EST

Analysis

Bam Adebayo Points Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 20.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 19.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the league, Bam Adebayo measures in the 94th percentile for playing time, logging a massive 34.6 minutes per game this year.
The faceoff with Jalen Duren places in the 90th percentile with the other side's starting Cs hitting a whopping 37.7% of their three-pointers this year.
The Heat are expected to see an increase in plays today from sharing the court with the most up-tempo tempo offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Detroit Pistons).
As a team, the Miami Heat have been among the best at drawing fouls of late: 5th-best in the NBA over the last 20 games without the home court advantage with 23.1 foul shot attempts per game.
The matchup against Jalen Duren is a strong one for getting to the charity stripe; when squaring off against fellow starting Cs this year, they have attempted a massive 4.2 foul shots per game (100th percentile).

Favors Under

Among all players in the NBA, Bam Adebayo rates in the 8th percentile for 3-point performance with a lackluster 15.4% rate this year.
Bam Adebayo has committed 2.4 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most foul-prone players in the NBA (84th percentile).
The Miami Heat have played at the most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 25 games away from their home court.
The Miami Heat rank as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games while on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).
Bam Adebayo has successfully made 62.9% of his free throw attempts over the last 10 games, 12.1% lower than he's converted overall this season.