Bam Adebayo Points - Player Prop Bet 3/10/2024

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Bam Adebayo

NBA · Player Props

Bam Adebayo

C-F · Miami Heat

Points

Miami Heat vs Washington Wizards · Mar 10, 2024

Updated Mar 11, 2024 2:56 AM EST

Analysis

Bam Adebayo Points Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 21.5 @ -102 before it was bet up to 21.5 @ -114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Bam Adebayo has made 60.4% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 5 games at home, 8.7% more than he's made over the course of the season with the home court advantage.
As it relates to threes, the Miami Heat's stellar 39.1% rate of converted threes as the home team comes in as the 3rd-most in the league this year.
The faceoff with Kyle Kuzma comes in at the 100th percentile with rival starting Cs scoring an enormous 47.1% of their shots from behind the three-point arc this year.
The Heat are expected to see a spike in plays today from competing against the fastest pace team in the league this year (the Wizards).
Bam Adebayo has attempted 6.1 free throws per game this year, quite a bit more than his 5.1 mark last year.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the NBA, Bam Adebayo rates in the 12th percentile for three-point attempts, posting 0.3 per game this year.
Among all players in the league, Bam Adebayo slots into the 91st percentile for technical fouls, posting a colossal 0.1 fouls per game this year.
The Heat have played at the 3rd-slowest pace in the NBA this year.
The Miami Heat rank as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).

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