Bam Adebayo Points - Player Prop Bet 2/7/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Bam Adebayo

C-F · Miami Heat

Points

Miami Heat vs San Antonio Spurs · Feb 7, 2024

Updated Feb 7, 2024 10:52 PM EST

Analysis

Bam Adebayo Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-145/+115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 17.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 17.5 @ -145.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the NBA, Bam Adebayo rates in the 89th percentile for shots drained while playing at home, registering a monstrous 7.5 per game this year.
Out of all players in the league, Bam Adebayo rates in the 91st percentile for playing time, putting up a monstrous 34.0 minutes per game while playing at home this year.
As it relates to shots from behind the three-point arc, the Miami Heat's fantastic 39.5% rate of converted threes with the home court advantage ranks 3rd-highest in the NBA this year.
The number of points totaled against Victor Wembanyama has been very high (16.7 per game) when squaring off against fellow starting Cs this year (96th percentile).
The Spurs have played at the 2nd-quickest pace in the league over the last 20 games away from their home city, which should raise plays for the Heat.

Favors Under

Among all players in the league, Bam Adebayo lands in the 12th percentile for three-point attempts while playing at home, averaging 0.2 per game this year.
While playing away from home, the Spurs have given up the most offensive boards per game (13.5) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists).