Bam Adebayo Points - Player Prop Bet 1/25/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Bam Adebayo

C-F · Miami Heat

Points

Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics · Jan 25, 2024

Updated Jan 26, 2024 3:23 AM EST

Analysis

Bam Adebayo Points Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-130/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 19.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 19.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the league, Bam Adebayo measures in the 91st percentile for shots scored, logging an enormous 7.8 per game this year.
Bam Adebayo has tallied 34.6 minutes per game on his home court this year, putting him in the 92nd percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the NBA.
The Miami Heat rank as the 2nd-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA over the last 20 games on their home court.
Over the last 20 games, their opposition has averaged 45.5% on shot attempts from the field (worst in the league) against the Boston Celtics, marking this as a difficult matchup.
While on the visiting team and matched up against fellow starting Cs, Kristaps Porzingis slots into the 97th percentile with a massive 2.8 3-point shots attempted against him per game this year.

Favors Under

Bam Adebayo has attempted 0.3 3-point shots per game on his home court this year, ranking him in the 14th percentile among all players in the league.
The Miami Heat have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA this year.
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and lead to bonus chances for scoring and assists, but the Heat grade out 6thworst in in the NBA with a mere 9.6 offensive boards per game this year.
The Boston Celtics have allowed the 4th-most offensive boards per game (11.5) in the NBA to their opposition over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists).
The showdown with Kristaps Porzingis as it relates to drawing fouls rates in the 17th percentile for difficulty with opposing starting Cs attempting a mere 2.9 free throws per game this year.