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Bam Adebayo

Bam Adebayo Points
Player Prop - 12/20/2023

Orlando Magic vs Miami Heat

Bam Adebayo Points Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-130/-100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 21.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 22.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Among all players in the NBA, Bam Adebayo lands in the 92nd percentile for field goals scored, registering a massive 8.4 per game this year.

Bam Adebayo has averaged 33.6 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA: 88th percentile.

The Heat rank as the most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA this year.

The Heat will likely see a rise in opportunities in this contest from facing the 10th-speediest pace-of-play home team in the NBA this year (the Magic).

This year when they are away from home, their opposition has grabbed 8.2 offensive rebounds per game (fewest in the NBA) against the Orlando Magic (lessening possessions that could otherwise result in additional chances for offense).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Bam Adebayo has converted 0.0% of his attempts from downtown away from his home court this year, placing him in the 7th percentile out of all players in the NBA.

Over the last 12 games, opposing clubs have averaged 38.3% on 3-pointers (9th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Orlando Magic, branding this as a strong matchup.

The matchup against Wendell Carter Jr. is a tough one for shot attempts from downtown; when matched up against opposing starting Cs since the start of last season, they have attempted a measly 1.0 3-point shots per game (11th percentile).

The Miami Heat have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA as the road team this year.

The Miami Heat rank as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).

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