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Bam Adebayo

Bam Adebayo Points
Player Prop - 12/18/2023

Miami Heat vs Minnesota Timberwolves

Bam Adebayo Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-122/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 18.5 @ -106 before it was bet down to 16.5 @ +100.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Bam Adebayo has successfully made 8.0 buckets per game with the home court advantage this year, ranking in the 91st percentile among all players in the NBA.

Among all players in the league, Bam Adebayo slots into the 81st percentile for playing time, posting a massive 31.3 minutes per game while on his home court this year.

The Heat rank as the most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA this year.

This year when they are on their home court, opposing teams have come down with 9.3 offensive boards per game (5th-fewest in the NBA) against the Timberwolves (reducing possessions that could otherwise spark more opportunities for offense).

Bam Adebayo has attempted 7.0 foul shots per game this year, quite a bit higher than his 5.1 mark last year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Bam Adebayo has attempted 0.2 three-point shots per game this year, ranking him in the 10th percentile out of all players in the league.

The matchup against Minnesota is a hard one; when the Minnesota Timberwolves are on the road, they have allowed the 15th-least points per game in the league to the opposing team's starting Cs this year (10.3).

The Miami Heat have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace in the league over the last 15 games.

The Timberwolves have played at the 7th-slowest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games without the home court advantage, which should lead to fewer plays for the Miami Heat.

The Miami Heat rank as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

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