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Bam Adebayo

Bam Adebayo Points
Player Prop - 11/18/2023

Chicago Bulls vs Miami Heat

Bam Adebayo Points Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (+105/-145).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 21.5 @ +110 before it was bet up to 21.5 @ +105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Bam Adebayo has tallied a terrific 24.5 points per game this year, a sizeable increase from his 20.2 points per game last year.

Compared to last year's 7.1% rate, Bam Adebayo's three-point effectiveness has increased this year to 50.0%.

Among all players in the NBA, Bam Adebayo places in the 91st percentile for playing time, compiling a colossal 34.2 minutes per game while on his home court this year.

The Heat check in as the 5th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA over the last 7 games.

This year when they are on the road, opposing starting Cs have averaged 1.1 threes per game (26th-most in the NBA) vs. the Bulls, identifying this as a good matchup.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Miami Heat have played at the 5th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league on their home court this year.

The Miami Heat are expected to see a decline in opportunities today from sharing the court with the 3rd-least up-tempo pace-of-play team in the NBA this year (the Bulls).

Offensive rebounds retain possession and spark additional chances for scoring and assists, but the Miami Heat rank 6thworst in in the NBA at home with a mere 9.7 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Over the last 5 games when they are on their home court, their opposition has grabbed 13.6 offensive rebounds per game (4th-most in the NBA) vs. the Chicago Bulls (continuing possessions that can produce more chances for offense).

Bam Adebayo will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home stadium tends to reduce stat production for all stats.

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