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Bam Adebayo

Bam Adebayo Points
Player Prop - 11/11/2023

Atlanta Hawks vs Miami Heat

 
 
 
Bam Adebayo Points Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (-115/-112).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 22.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 23.5 @ -115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Out of all players in the league, Bam Adebayo lands in the 92nd percentile for shots from the field made while playing on the road, posting a monstrous 7.8 per game since the start of last season.
  • Out of all players in the NBA, Bam Adebayo rates in the 94th percentile for playing time, totaling a whopping 34.7 minutes per game without the home court advantage since the start of last season.
  • The Miami Heat have been the 4th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league this year.
  • The 9th-fastest tempo team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Miami Heat.
  • The Heat will likely see a spike in opportunities in this contest from competing against the 2nd-speediest pace home team in the league this year (the Atlanta Hawks).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Bam Adebayo has sunk 12.5% of his 3-pointers while on his home court since the start of last season, putting him in the 6th percentile among all players in the league.
  • This year when they are on their home court, the other team's starting Cs have notched 11.0 points per game (13th-lowest in the league) vs. the Atlanta Hawks, designating this as a difficult matchup for offensive production.
  • The Heat rank as the 10th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA when playing away from home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
  • This year when they are the visiting team, the other team has collected 11.3 offensive boards per game (9th-most in the NBA) against the Atlanta Hawks (preserving possessions that can spark more opportunities for offense).
  • Bam Adebayo will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home city tends to reduce player performance for all stats.

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