Bam Adebayo Points - Player Prop Bet 11/11/2023

NBA · Player Props

Bam Adebayo

C-F · Miami Heat

Points

Atlanta Hawks vs Miami Heat · Nov 11, 2023

Updated Nov 12, 2023 12:42 AM EST

Analysis

Bam Adebayo Points Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (-115/-112).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 22.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 23.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the league, Bam Adebayo lands in the 92nd percentile for shots from the field made while playing on the road, posting a monstrous 7.8 per game since the start of last season.
Out of all players in the NBA, Bam Adebayo rates in the 94th percentile for playing time, totaling a whopping 34.7 minutes per game without the home court advantage since the start of last season.
The Miami Heat have been the 4th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league this year.
The 9th-fastest tempo team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Miami Heat.
The Heat will likely see a spike in opportunities in this contest from competing against the 2nd-speediest pace home team in the league this year (the Atlanta Hawks).

Favors Under

Bam Adebayo has sunk 12.5% of his 3-pointers while on his home court since the start of last season, putting him in the 6th percentile among all players in the league.
This year when they are on their home court, the other team's starting Cs have notched 11.0 points per game (13th-lowest in the league) vs. the Atlanta Hawks, designating this as a difficult matchup for offensive production.
The Heat rank as the 10th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA when playing away from home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
This year when they are the visiting team, the other team has collected 11.3 offensive boards per game (9th-most in the NBA) against the Atlanta Hawks (preserving possessions that can spark more opportunities for offense).
Bam Adebayo will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home city tends to reduce player performance for all stats.