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Bam Adebayo

Bam Adebayo Points
Player Prop - 6/12/2023

Denver Nuggets vs Miami Heat

Bam Adebayo Points Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 19.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 20.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Bam Adebayo has attempted 17.8 shots per game over the last 5 games, 3.0 more than he's attempted in all games this season.

Bam Adebayo has averaged 40.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.1 more than he's averaged overall this season.

The Miami Heat have been the 8th-most aggressive offense in the league away from home this year as it relates to three-point attempts.

The Nuggets have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (8.3) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).

Bam Adebayo has successfully made 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games on the road, 22.6% higher than he's sunk overall this year while playing on the road.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Bam Adebayo has been called for 3.8 personal fouls per game over the last 10 games without the home court advantage, 0.9 higher than he's been called for in all games this season on the road.

The matchup vs. Denver is a tough one for 3-pointers; when the Nuggets are on their home court, the opposition's starting Cs have averaged the 11th-least 3-pointers per game in the NBA this year (0.3).

The Miami Heat have played at the most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 15 games.

The Nuggets have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to reduce plays for the Heat.

The Miami Heat have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games when playing on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).

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