Bam Adebayo Points - Player Prop Bet 5/25/2023

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Bam Adebayo

NBA · Player Props

Bam Adebayo

C-F · Miami Heat

Points

Boston Celtics vs Miami Heat · May 25, 2023

Updated May 26, 2023 12:31 AM EST

Analysis

Bam Adebayo Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-128/+104).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 17.5 @ -104 before it was bet up to 17.5 @ -128.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Bam Adebayo has sunk 7.8 field goals per game this year, ranking in the 92nd percentile out of all players in the league.
Bam Adebayo has averaged 34.3 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the league: 93rd percentile.
The Miami Heat rank as the 6th-most aggressive offense in the league over the last 20 games away from home when it comes to three-point attempts.
The matchup against the Celtics is a strong one for 3-pointers; opposing starting Cs have averaged the 26th-most 3-point shots per game in the NBA this year (0.6).
The Celtics have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (8.5) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Bam Adebayo has made 12.5% of his 3-pointers without the home court advantage this year, ranking him in the 8th percentile among all players in the NBA.
The Miami Heat have played at the most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 15 games when playing on the road.
The Celtics have played at the 3rd-slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games, which should lead to decreased possessions for the Heat.
The Miami Heat rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
Bam Adebayo will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on the road generally decreases player performance in all facets of the game.

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