Bam Adebayo Points - Player Prop Bet 5/23/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Bam Adebayo

C-F · Miami Heat

Points

Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics · May 23, 2023

Updated May 23, 2023 8:06 PM EST

Analysis

Bam Adebayo Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-150/+120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 17.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 17.5 @ -150.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Bam Adebayo has attempted 14.7 shots from the field per game this season, a significant increase from his 12.2 rate last season.
Bam Adebayo has played 33.9 minutes per game on his home court this year, ranking him in the 91st percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the league.
The Miami Heat check in as the 8th-most aggressive offense in the league over the last 10 games as it relates to attempts from beyond the arc.
The matchup vs. Boston is a strong one; when the Celtics are away from home, they have allowed the 30th-most points per game in the NBA to the opposition's starting Cs this year (16.4).
The Celtics have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (7.6) in the NBA to opposing squads over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Bam Adebayo has made 7.7% of his attempts from downtown this year, ranking in the 6th percentile among all players in the NBA.
Bam Adebayo has committed 3.7 personal fouls per game over the last 10 games, 0.8 higher than he's committed overall this season.
The Miami Heat have played at the most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA this year.
The Celtics have played at the most lethargic pace in the league over the last 10 games, which should lead to decreased possessions for the Heat.
The Miami Heat have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).