Bam Adebayo Points - Player Prop Bet 5/2/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Bam Adebayo

C-F · Miami Heat

Points

New York Knicks vs Miami Heat · May 2, 2023

Updated May 3, 2023 2:51 AM EST

Analysis

Bam Adebayo Points Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-112/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 18.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 20.5 @ -112.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Bam Adebayo has successfully made 7.9 shots made from the field per game this year, placing him in the 93rd percentile among all players in the league.
Bam Adebayo has averaged 34.1 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA: 93rd percentile.
The Miami Heat check in as the 8th-most aggressive offense in the NBA away from their home court this year as it relates to three-point attempts.
The Miami Heat have played at the 9th-quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games away from home.
The Knicks have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (8.2) in the NBA to opposing squads over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Bam Adebayo has made 14.3% of his three-pointers while on the road this year, putting him in the 9th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
The matchup against the Knicks is a difficult one for shots from the field; the other team's starting Cs have averaged the 15th-least buckets per game in the NBA this year (4.7).
The Knicks have played at the 3rd-slowest pace in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to fewer opportunities for the Heat.
The Miami Heat check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).
Bam Adebayo will not have the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home stadium generally lowers player performance across the board.